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Tuesday, September 1, 2009

CFD Trading Strategy - Symmetrical Triangles Downside Breakout

By Jeff Cartridge

Symmetrical triangles have been very popular with traders over the years trading the chart pattern when it breaks out in either direction. A symmetrical triangle is defined by two lines, one on the upper boundary of the price movement which slopes down and one on the lower side which slopes up. The lines have almost the same angle, hence the name symmetrical.

Symmetrical Triangles, Not Usually Traded Short

The symmetrical triangle can be traded both long and short and when it does break down, historically 45% of the time, it can be profitable. A symmetrical triangle breakout to the downside is not as reliable as a breakout to the upside with only 44% of the trades being profitable. The average profits are just 0.33% in 9 days.

Improve Your Trades

As you would expect a break to the downside works better in a falling sector and market environment. By using filters that require the market, stock and the sector to be in a consolidation or a down trend you can improve the results.

A breakout from a symmetrical triangle is best if it occurs later in the pattern, but not near the start. The best trades occur when a down side break occurs after the stock bounces off the lower boundary and drops back before hitting the upper boundary.

If volume supports a symmetrical triangle breakout then the profitability of the trades improves. For volume to support the breakout, volume when the stock is going down should be greater than volume when the stock is going up. A close lower than the previous day, before the breakout, results in better trades.

Short Trading Symmetrical Triangles Can Be Profitable

Following a series of simple rules to determine which symmetrical triangle to trade can improve results dramatically. By applying these filters symmetrical triangles are profitable on 47% of the trades and return an average of 1.58% per trade in 9 days. This is a profitable pattern to trade.

Note: Statistics for this article have been provided by Patterns Trader after analyzing over 60,000 chart patterns on the Australian market from 2000 - 2008. - 23162

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