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Monday, August 31, 2009

Winning In The Stock Market

By Sean Phelps

Professional traders kill amateur traders in the stock market with double top and bottom patterns. Do not be another victim. In fact, after reading this article you will be able to get the revenge you deserve.

Every rally in the stock market reaches a point where enough bulls look at it and say"I've made a lot of money, and I might make even more money, but Id rather take my profits off the table. Charts top out when enough bulls take their profits, while the money from new bulls is not enough to replace what was taken out.

Traders who just bought the stock are pissed off because they came to late. They are trapped, sometimes even in a Bearish Island Reversal. Should they just stay in the stock and hope it comes back or sell for a loss? Well, the stock will keep dropping until enough bulls decide that the stock has over extended itself on the downside. So as more and more of these bulls step in, the stock begins to rise and the rally continues. Now when the stock finally rises back up to its previous high, you can expect sell orders to hit the market as those who were trapped exit their positions.

Many battle scared traders who got caught in the previous decline take a blood oath to get out if the market gives them a second chance.

At a market bottom, bears start covering their short positions when a new low is formed. Once the rally from short covering ends and the stock continues to fall, the question becomes will the previous low hold. If bears (fear) are stronger than bulls (greed), prices will fall below the previous low and the downward move will keep on going. If bears are weaker than bulls, the downward move will stop near the previous low and create a double bottom bounce. Use your other favorite indicators to decide which of these events is more likely to happen.

When a stock climbs to old high, you need to ask yourself will the stock breakout above that high or turn down and form a bearish double top pattern. Your favorite technical indicators like the MACD, RSI, and volume will help you answer this question.

If the volume, RSI, and stochastics start falling as the stock approaches its previous high, then it is likely that a double top pattern will form.

A double bottom is most likely to form if the MACD and volume start rising when the stock hits its previous low. - 23162

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