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Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Forex Trading and The London Open

By Michael Jones

Part of your Forex trading education should include a study of the effect market timings can have on trading and volume.

Good trading opportunities often arise at the time the London market opens as this can be one of the busiest trading times of the day.

As part of your Forex trading education, learn to analyze market conditions around London open and begin to recognize good setups.

The following questionnaire and checklist will help.

London Open Preparation

Browse your charts about 15 to 30 minutes before the London market opens and use these questions as a guide:

Check to see if the MACD indicators on the 4 hour and 1 hour charts are going in the same direction. If not, be very careful!

Is there MACD divergence on the 4 hour, 1 hour, or 15 minute chart? Look for other clues to confirm that price may go in the direction of MACD divergence.

Looking at the four hour chart, ask yourself, what is the overall trend?

Do a Fibonacci calculation on the last swing high and low and see if price is pulling back to an optimum retracement level or whether it is reaching a key extension level.

Note price in relation to the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) on the 4 hour, 1 hour and 15 minute charts. Is price bucking the trend? In other words, is price above the 200 EMA on the 4 hour and 1 hour chart but below it on the 15 minute? Then be prepared for price to go long at some stage. (Draw the opposite conclusion if price is below the 200 EMA on the 4 hour and 1 hour chart but above it on the 15 minute chart.)

Are any fundamental announcements due?

Taking note of the candle that closes the first 15 minutes after London open, is it part of a distinctive candle pattern or is the candle itself a hammer, doji, or other shape which indicates price may be about to go in the other direction?

What would my risk be and where would I place my stop if I entered a trade right now in a particular direction?

After waiting a few minutes from the time London opens, and you see a number of converging factors based on the analysis points given above, decide whether you are going to enter the market. Either:

trade

wait for clearer signals or a better entry point

Carrying out an analysis in this way each day at London open will do much to increase your Forex trading education.

You will become much more aware of what is happening in the Forex market and it will help you be more decisive, either to trade or not to trade.

Forex trading education does not depend on a magical formula. What it does entail is years of work, study, practice and experience, often hard earned through watching many trades go bad.

Eventually the newer trader learns mental discipline, and how to control the emotions - probably the biggest part of a Forex trading education.

A procedure like the one outlined above, practiced day in and day out, will help the newer trader make good progress. It won't be too long before the trader experiences the satisfaction of consistent profits on a regular basis. - 23162

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